Wales did not deserver to get a 2nd Yellow - but Fiji deserved none at all

What it says

  • Fiji gave away 9 penalties, Wales gave away 17

  • rom historical games it is quite unusual for a team who gave away 9 penalties to get a yellow (especially since there was no 'foul play')

  • That being said, getting a single yellow after 17 penalites is about right

  • I cannot judge the nature of the penalties across the historic games (e.g high tackles, etc.) but this is on average

How it was done

  • I analysed 303 games (only teams playing in the current world cup) since 2019

  • I looked at how many penalties each team gave away in each game and how many yellow

  • cards they received. From that I did a logistic regression and some simple stats.

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How many cards is a penalty

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Week 1 Data Dump