Rugby World Cup Predictions Week 4 (24/09 - 01/10)
A/B team predictions
Predictions for this week
Despite the fact there is only game week where the winner has a winning percentage of less than 70% there are some interesting results to look forward to.
The first interesting game is obviously Japan vs Samoa: R.O.G is calling Sama by 3, but Japan are notorious giant-killers at World Cups - will be interesting to see how this one plays out
Scotland vs Romania will be interesting game, not because of the outcome (Scotland win likelihood sits at 99%…) but to see if the team playing in Navy can get the 4 trys necessary to get the bonus point to keep their qualification hopes alive
Detailed Stats
R.O.G (Rugby Outcome Generator) vs The Bookies
Appraisal of Last Week
How to think about last week…
Upon initial reflection 6/8 games correctly called correctly is not amazing - but it is better than then 5/8 games that the bookies called.
Similarly only beating the bookies on gap to actual score for 3 games does not feel great BUT R.O.G was on the right side of the handicap 50% which is about right. I just need less insane blowout games (looking at you Australia….). In general R.O.G performs well in close games and less so when one side runs away with it
